← Grand Archive TCG - Constructed - Reginals Qualifier Event
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - Constructed - Reginals Qualifier Event
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.0% | +13.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.7% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +3.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 4.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
| Wind Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 46 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 46 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nico, Rapture's Embrace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Galewhisper Rogue | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Hired Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Surveil the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poised Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |